14 September 2012

SWOT analysis for Australia in the ICC World T20

The ICC World T20 is days away and the warm up matches have begun.
I have never read too much into warm up matches but in a format like Twenty20 it certainly gives team an extra hop in their step if they can put in an all round performance, win or lose.

Our victory against Pakistan in the third T20 was one of these matches for George Bailey and team.

We got to see the capability of our side when there is input from key players and the bowlers systematically produce the goods on the back of their bowling partners input. It takes just one or two bad overs to release the pressure valve but the other night our bowlers were collectively outstanding and the pressure make Pakistan fold.

This article I've looked at our perceived strengths and weaknesses, as well as the opportunities and threats that lie ahead.

For the initial fixtures, you can click here to view the upcoming matches.
Tomorrow the boys take on New Zealand in a warm-up match.

Australian T20 Squad: (to read the initial squad article, have a read here)

David Warner (Batsman), Shane Watson (All-rounder), Matthew Wade (wk), David Hussey (All-rounder), Michael Hussey (Batsman), George Bailey (captain) (Batsman), Cameron White (Batsman), Daniel Christian (All-rounder), Glenn Maxwell (All-rounder), Brad Hogg (Bowler), Xavier Doherty (Bowler), Clint McKay (Bowler), Mitchell Starc (Bowler), Pat Cummins (Bowler), Ben Hilfenhaus (Bowler).

Last 10 matches: Won 4, Lost 5, Tied 1 (lost in super over).

Strengths:

Without question there's a duo in our side that our opponents will see as their core focus to knock over.
That is the opening duo if David Warner and Shane Watson. If the two of them come off in the same innings, which is unlikely to be inconsistent, then they can get us into a position that will have any captain or coach in a cold sweat.

The last T20 against Pakistan saw this happen and their brutal stand of 111 was only beginning to ignite. Warner was in a bad place during the UAE but he came into his own during the T20s but his skill to be so innovative and attacking with his shot selection is breathtaking and an ever present advantage, while Shane Watson depends on targeting the deep-mid wicket or long on regions with powerful lofted shots.

Our dependency on these two should be not be seen as too worrying given the middle order may not be explosive but there's a strong element of control and composure which should never be overlooked in T20 cricket.

Michael Hussey is still an awesome batsman and can turn a game around in such a stealth-like manner before stealing the entire show as the man of the moment. His balance and focus is vital for us.

Glenn Maxwell is new to the side but his confident manner is what we've needed. He comes out brings the axe down on his opponents and wastes little time to get the momentum in his favour. This tournament provides him with a massive opportunity but most importantly he can add a hitting we once had in Andrew Symonds, which may be needed if Cameron White is unable to come off.

He played in the 3rd T20 against Pakistan at the expense of David Hussey which actually worked well for us. I wouldn't be surprised if Dussey is not played in the opening games. Despite his experience he has struggled for consistency season in, season out.

Our young bowlers go into the tournament as the most exciting young bowling duo. This is Patrick Cummins and Mitchell Starc, who is on the rise as one incredible limited overs bowler. With a bit of movement on offer and bowling to the fields set by George Bailey, the two of them will be exciting to watch.

Weaknesses:

While a batting line up with Michael Hussey, Cam White, Glenn Maxwell, Matthew Wade, David Hussey or Dan Christian may appear as one with depth, the concern is the dependency on the Warner/ Watson partnership.

A major drive to our potential success will be either of the two having a big innings in each and every game. Sure, no one should doubt our other batsmen but its a logical point that Warner and Watson are explosive batsmen and can change a game with destructive consequences and this applies in both instances where they score big runs or none at all.

Our batting in all forms of the game has been inconsistent and too often there's a big gap between our best Twenty20 cricket and our worst. The batting is vital and with a line up that has a handicap against spin bowling, facing up to teams in Sri Lankan conditions presents a hard challenge.

I won't be surprised if both the West Indies and even Ireland turn to spin early on in our innings. Sunil Narine will definitely be a guy we'll need to target.

If our bowlers bowl second to defend a target they will need runs on the board. As much as I like our balance, the pressure may be too much if they have to protect low targets in our opening games. Runs on the boards and they'll thrive.

Opportunities:

Any major tournament presents a chance for new faces to take advantage of the crowds watching cricketers battle in the gladiator arena. Twenty20 allows players to make a quick impression and we have a few players who already made an impression in the UAE.

Glenn Maxwell is in a position to make the attacking all-rounder position we so desperately need into his own. Mitchell Starc is taking wickets left, right and center of the wicket, Matthew Wade still has Tim Paine and Brad Haddin making their way back, David Warner has had a quiet run, while Brad Hogg and Michael Hussey are showing that Twenty20 is a format even the older blokes can make an impact and leave the youngsters in the dark!

Most importantly this is a chance for us to work on that ranking everyone is talking about and against Ireland and West Indies if we play our best cricket then it will be a highly prospective chance of getting to the second stage.

Threats:

The West Indies are a side I tip to win the tournament - if we don't.
They're a side I follow with great enthusiasm and believe they have the goods. Its common knowledge they should be our toughest contest on paper. Sunil Narine has made an impression the shorter forms of the game and he'll be the Windies go to man.

The threat of spin friendly conditions will be known and the sub-continent sides; Pakistan, Sri Lanka and India, will be licking their lips.

The wrap-up:

Rankings don't have as a big a say in Twenty20 cricket when it comes to raw cricket ability and team culture. Twenty20 ranks can shift very quickly and I would never dismiss our side based on ranks, keeping in mind we were the runners up for the last tournament in the Caribbean.

Bottom line is that the playing field is open but if we play our best cricket and our batsmen can combat the ever present threat of spin then we have a mighty good chance to finally get our hands on this trophy!

Teams to watch out for?
West Indies, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and India.

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Thanks for reading this article written by Ian.
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5 comments:

Sylvester said...

Will be interesting seeing how things go. Bailey will need to step up big time as his spot is most under scrutiny. Hopefully Dussey or White can do likewise. I wouldn't be expecting too much from Maxwell who is down at 7 (hopefully) or Wade at 6 but contributions here and there from them would be good.

McKay showed he should be in the side, hopefully this ends the Christian experiment at 8.

Anonymous said...

Bailey and Christian are real weak points for us. I'm hoping that Christian doesn't play much. I really think he goes to water under pressure.

And Cam White needs to step up his game, he one of the most experienced players we've got but his T20 cricket has really fallen away.

Warner needs to get away early against the seamers as his ability to play any more than mediocre spin is suspect.

It will be a very interesting tournament.

lou

Ian said...

Hi Lou,

Been a while.

I am inclined to agree with you and Sly.
Dan has been extremely good for the Redbacks but his step up to international level has been average. Hasn't done badly but hasn't done anything outstanding either. Well, there was that insane diving catch recently!

I find Dussey has become a bit of a struggle as well and too rarely delivers for us. Such a good cricketer but I have never seen him deliver consistent performances for us. By contrast he continues to be a top performer at State level.

Same for Cam White. Recently regained his form at T20 during the English county season and last IPL but he's fallen aside at international level, again.

An issue of stepping up to greater pressure.

Our bowling is in better shaping that our batting. Or you could say our bowlers are less dependent on key players than our batting.

All in all its an open field this tournament.

blogster said...

What an exciting time for Australian cricket, some many youngsters, so much is unknown in a relative unknown segment of the game.

I agree that Warner and Watson are key to Australia's success but our middle order is the best in the world M.Hussey, D Hussey, M Wade, G Bailey etc. We have the attacking power mixed in with overall class.

I think David Hussey is being seriously overlooked as one of the most influential in the team. I believe he has played consistent cricket (especially in the one day arena) and deserve a lot more praise than his receiving.

It is time for White to step aside he has been a key power force in the team, but now with the excitement machine that is Maxwell and even Christian who is due to fire, his time has passed but I have been wrong before.

Overall I am pumped for this tournament and I wish the boys the best of luck. Terrific article too, my pick to win will be Sri Lanka.

Eddy

Eddie Lawerence said...

What an exciting time for Australian cricket, new team, backs against the wall in a relatively new format of the game. This is where Australia performs best.

I can’t agree more with the fact that Warner and Watson will need to fire if Australia are to progress through the tournament. In saying that our middle order is the best in the world and I’m not saying that out of bias. Both Hussey’s are the best in the world at what they do and believe that David has been judged rather Harshly considering the form he has shown over that last few years. (Particularly in the One Day arena).

I do believe it is time for Cameron White to step aside, with the new hot shot of Maxwell and the obvious ability Christian and Wade, his position in the team is somewhat insignificant.

Overall I’m pumped for the tournament and believe that Australia will dominate Ireland and the Windies to progress to the Super 8’s. Good job with the blog guys, my prediction for the tournament will be India.